Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 4.167959 4.487411 4.830066 5.226756 5.675646 6.170585 6.761364
2025-05-04 3.712428 4.170007 4.694799 5.349001 6.154026 7.127998 8.420991
2025-05-11 3.373311 3.893510 4.516844 5.334149 6.402039 7.787801 9.791700
2025-05-18 3.115855 3.669366 4.354775 5.289252 6.570246 8.332527 11.079759
2025-05-25 2.870768 3.430670 4.141003 5.138405 6.557451 8.603206 11.999615
2025-06-01 2.686155 3.250694 3.982097 5.036094 6.586780 8.921512 13.040544
2025-06-08 2.569300 3.148146 3.913912 5.046826 6.772433 9.493369 14.628201
2025-06-15 2.490307 3.088668 3.896727 5.124165 7.061444 10.268948 16.789695
2025-06-22 2.340155 2.922346 3.717790 4.944492 6.921243 10.291083 17.466172
2025-06-29 2.222766 2.794575 3.584935 4.822440 6.859134 10.437708 18.442561
2025-07-06 2.123038 2.686075 3.472803 4.722443 6.821130 10.619062 19.547311
2025-07-13 2.053415 2.616354 3.412585 4.698079 6.907740 11.047189 21.382628
2025-07-20 2.019081 2.598592 3.432721 4.811655 7.264871 12.108616 25.423339
2025-07-27 1.981754 2.575018 3.443346 4.912189 7.616028 13.250058 30.450191
2025-08-03 1.920060 2.512139 3.389343 4.898543 7.748706 13.940075 34.540155
2025-08-10 1.857432 2.444668 3.323889 4.859077 7.824803 14.515221 38.684791
2025-08-17 1.778849 2.349811 3.210235 4.726485 7.697734 14.565056 40.779032
2025-08-24 1.714816 2.274447 3.123924 4.636411 7.648588 14.807413 43.993682
2025-08-31 1.675980 2.235797 3.094364 4.645865 7.809219 15.645240 51.059044
2025-09-07 1.651418 2.217846 3.097081 4.713955 8.104775 16.944248 62.750135
2025-09-14 1.584016 2.130957 2.982555 4.555662 7.878928 16.660314 63.941664
2025-09-21 1.529943 2.063244 2.897274 4.447919 7.758602 16.681449 67.576169
2025-09-28 1.482472 2.004381 2.824406 4.359514 7.674314 16.801483 72.347722